Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.201359 0.232929 0.267791 0.309143 0.356858 0.410195 0.474359
2025-10-12 0.154470 0.197645 0.250244 0.319035 0.406664 0.514624 0.657875
2025-10-19 0.128772 0.176702 0.239208 0.326685 0.446021 0.603286 0.826619
2025-10-26 0.109832 0.159577 0.228158 0.329596 0.475939 0.679681 0.985500
2025-11-02 0.093843 0.143276 0.214793 0.325771 0.493830 0.739208 1.125635
2025-11-09 0.079655 0.127139 0.198866 0.315061 0.498827 0.778811 1.239101
2025-11-16 0.072277 0.120134 0.195326 0.322004 0.530439 0.860570 1.424984
2025-11-23 0.065117 0.112377 0.189389 0.323934 0.553582 0.930619 1.599046
2025-11-30 0.059665 0.106650 0.185869 0.329051 0.581961 1.011363 1.798875
2025-12-07 0.053069 0.098062 0.176406 0.322628 0.589403 1.056935 1.942281
2025-12-14 0.047785 0.091125 0.168933 0.318646 0.600310 1.108999 2.101987
2025-12-21 0.044155 0.086768 0.165532 0.321547 0.623777 1.185456 2.314055
2025-12-28 0.042489 0.086030 0.168877 0.337792 0.674683 1.318874 2.651086
2026-01-04 0.040259 0.083929 0.169403 0.348659 0.716471 1.439594 2.977611
2026-01-11 0.037965 0.081402 0.168764 0.357017 0.753987 1.555562 3.307101
2026-01-18 0.035375 0.077934 0.165809 0.360197 0.781060 1.653075 3.608862
2026-01-25 0.032371 0.073217 0.159727 0.356018 0.792001 1.718181 3.848574
2026-02-01 0.029049 0.067403 0.150668 0.344317 0.785236 1.744888 4.007063
2026-02-08 0.027618 0.065684 0.150321 0.351902 0.822013 1.869423 4.397599
2026-02-15 0.025895 0.063084 0.147714 0.354011 0.846470 1.968943 4.741437
2026-02-22 0.024566 0.061259 0.146667 0.359602 0.879549 2.091163 5.151520
2026-03-01 0.022527 0.057472 0.140631 0.352584 0.881738 2.141787 5.394950
2026-03-08 0.020841 0.054372 0.135904 0.348234 0.889923 2.207338 5.682051